Japanese enterprise survey: Enterprises believe that Trump's next presidential term will have a negative impact on the business environment, and 60% of Japanese enterprises expect that the trading range of USD/JPY will be between 140 and 150 by 2025. Half of Japanese companies expect higher profits in the next fiscal year.Foreign investment increased by 9.7% in the first 10 months. China enterprises need multiple supporting escorts to "go global". At present, it has become the general trend for China enterprises to "go global". The data from January to October 2024 recently released by the Ministry of Commerce shows that the amount of foreign direct investment in China's whole industry has increased steadily. Statistics from the Ministry of Commerce and the foreign exchange bureau show that from January to October 2024, China's foreign direct investment in the whole industry was 135.87 billion US dollars, up 9.7% year-on-year. From large-scale infrastructure enterprises to build traffic arteries overseas, to technology companies to set up R&D centers in foreign countries, and then to manufacturers to lay out overseas factories, China enterprises have a wide and in-depth overseas footprint. However, it is worth noting that in the increasingly complex international environment, the support of professional supporting services is very important for China enterprises in the process of "going global". (SSE)CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.
Bank of Brazil: The agent's views on recent financial announcements have significantly affected asset prices and expectations, especially risk premium, inflation expectations and exchange rate.Scientists observed semi-Dirac fermion for the first time, and scientists from Pennsylvania State University and Columbia University joined hands to observe a special kind of quasi-particle-semi-Dirac fermion for the first time. Such quasi-particles have mass when moving in one direction, but lose mass when moving in the other direction. The researchers said that in-depth research on these quasi-particles is expected to promote the development of next-generation batteries, sensors and other technologies. Related papers were published in the new issue of Physical Review X.Securities Daily: Vigorously boosting consumption is the focus of the current macro policy. The article said that consumption is the ballast stone for stable economic operation. However, we must also see that residents' consumer confidence still needs to be enhanced. Therefore, it is necessary to take multiple measures simultaneously, constantly consolidate the foundation of consumption growth, enhance residents' willingness and ability to consume, and promote the sustained recovery of the consumer market. First, increase residents' income through multiple channels and improve their spending power. Second, further support the trade-in of consumer goods. Third, promote the upgrading and expansion of service consumption. Promoting consumption is the main starting point for expanding domestic demand, and boosting consumption is the focus of macroeconomic policy. We firmly believe that with the continuous efforts of various policy initiatives, consumer confidence will continue to increase and consumption potential will continue to be released.
Reminder: Please pay attention to the employment report of Australia in November (including the number of employed people and unemployment rate) at 08: 30 (Beijing time below); ② At 16: 30, the Swiss National Bank announced the interest rate resolution; ③ At 17: 00, the International Energy Agency (IEA) released the monthly crude oil market report; ④ 21:15 The European Central Bank announced the interest rate resolution (including main refinancing rate, deposit convenience rate and marginal lending rate); ⑤ PPI in November in the United States at 21: 30, and the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time in the week of December 7; ⑥ 21:45 European Central Bank President Lagarde held a press conference; 7 Broadcom released its performance report after the US stock market closed.In addition to the front page content, today's People's Daily's main financial contents include: 1. Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area has added a large channel, the Huangmaohai cross-sea channel, to traffic; 2. The five departments issued a document to strengthen the recruitment and employment security of manufacturing industry and promote the formation of a recruitment and employment consortium; In March and November, the production and sales of new energy vehicles increased by 45.8% and 47.4% respectively. 4. Promote common development with the spirit of "helping each other with the same ball" (harmony); 5. Experts from the World Economic Forum: China has contributed to the global clean energy transformation; 6. Gao Yunlong attended the opening ceremony of the second Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Development Business Conference and delivered a speech; 7. The natural gas supply capacity of "three highs and one drop" in coal supply and demand during peak winter has been further improved; 8. Pay attention to system integration and build a high-level socialist market economic system with systematic thinking (targeted); 9. The market scale of China's crop seed industry exceeded 150 billion yuan for the first time last year. Industry-University-Research used integrated seed industry to improve quality and efficiency (high-quality development sees highlights and readings); In October and November, the passenger traffic of urban rail transit exceeded 2.7 billion passengers; 11, China's first 500 kv provincial digital power grid construction progress more than half; 12. Hangzhou Market Supervision Bureau launched the "Safe Consumption Receipt Code"; 13. Indonesia plans to add a number of special economic zones in the next four years; 14. Economic Outlook Report of the European Commission in Autumn 2024-The EU economy is expected to grow by 0.9% this year; 15. The Japanese enterprise price index reached the highest year-on-year increase in 17 months.
Strategy guide
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Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13